Group Stage Results and Playoffs Favorites of the Leipzig Dota 2 Major

January 21, 2020

The playoff stage of DreamLeague 13 Leipzig Major begins today, which means it’s time for MoreMMR analysts to discuss the performance of the teams in the group stage, highlight the favorites and outsiders, and of course to discuss the chances of CIS teams on the tournament.

It should be noted that each team in the group stage lost at least one game, which shows that we do not have a team that would “roll over” their opponents in the group stage and seem like a clear favorite among the others. Even in the group stage, the teams did not hesitate to fight each other with all the stats they have, and it is fair to expect from an even more fierce and interesting fight in the playoff . But if we talk about the teams that were expected to leave the group from the first and last places, there are no surprises, so it makes sense to talk about each favorite separately.

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Team Nigma
Nigma is definitely one of the main favorites on this tournament. Kuros’ team just won the Minor and left group stage from the first place in Leipzig. They haven’t changed the line-up since the TI9 finals and started training together even before the start of the Minor (more than a month ago), meaning that Kuro and the company had more than a month of training on the boot camp, which clearly plays a positive role in team’s chemistry and performance.

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Team Secret
This team has already managed to defeat one of the main favorites in the group stage — Vici Gaming. Puppey’s squad has great experience and strong players, which time after time allows them to reach the highest places. Although they missed the first big tournament of the season, Secret confidently defeated Alliance and Nigma in the EU qualification for this Major, while both teams reached the top of the tournament. Given the current upper bracket grid for Puppey and the company (their first opponent will be Fnatic, against which Secret seem like clear favorites) it will be not difficult to pass the first stage, and in case of victory, Secret will meet with the winner of Navi — Alliance pair, which gives Secret a great chance to get at least to the top 3 of Leipzig Major.

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VG and IG
Two strongest teams in the Chinese region at this moment. Both teams have reached the upper bracket and most importantly, they will meet each other in the first playoff match. VICI are finalists of the past major, they need a high place in this tournament in order to guarantee qualification for the TI10, but not only that motivates the team. Vici also has a very experienced roster, for whom it should not be difficult to reach the high places. The IG team is the winner of the first minor, came out from the first place of their group (Vici made it from the 2nd place of their group where they lost only to Secret) and seems like the team already has enough experience to get to the high places. Regardless of which team wins today’s series, both teams can also confidently go through losers’ braket, but this is a different level of moral pressure on the team. If you compare these 2 teams to each other, Vici looks a little stronger, given the experience of the players and the result of the past Major.

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EG
Even though the team made it to the upper bracket it was not that easy for Fly and the company. They played 3 series bo3, two of which they won 2–1, so even the second place was not that simple of an achievement. Although the team did not change the lineup and this time the conditions for the preparation of the tournament were much better (last time the team had visa difficulties), Ramses and his new team have a hard way to go to the high places, because their first opponent in the upper bracket will be the Nigma, which clearly will not give up their place under the sun easily.

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Natus Vincere
Na’Vi surprised all the fans and managed to get out of the group stage from the first place defeating EG and Liquid. It is worth mentioning that Navi’s players are in the top places in terms of KDA in the group, which indicates that the team rolled over their opponents very confidently in the group stage. Their first opponent will be the Alliance team and according to bookmakers, Navi seems like a favorite in this match. Given the 16th place at the past TI and the fact that they couldn’t get to the tops at the DPC events for a long time, this is a huge progress for the guys, but if you put aside the excessive optimism, it becomes clear that for Na’Vi it will be hard enough to get further Top 6.

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Virtus Pro
The team took the last place in the group and couldn’t win a single game. Only the Chaos Esports from North America have the same result. Solo and company couldn’t find their game, there is constant pressure from the community on two young players for poor performance, and the veterans of the team do not show consistent performance. The coach of the team also said that they still have problems with the drafts. Their opponents in the Bo1 series in the LB will be Liquid. Even if VP beat them, their further opponents will be stronger and stronger, so we may not put serious hopes on the “bears” on this Major, but we must support our home team from the CIS!

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TNC
The SEA team is perhaps the main disappointment of the tournament. The winners of the last Major took the last place in the qualification, losing to both teams which also came to the Major from their region. Everybody thought that it would be a motivation for the team to better prepare for this tournament, but everything came out as it is and TNC got the last place in the group. The result of the team is well deserved, they play badly, maybe they are affected by the fact that they have already won the Major and secured a trip to TI10. Most likely TNC, the winner of the last major will not rise above 16th place this time.

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